UK growth down (again) growth, again, down

0p198620

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/4337724.stm


Pay attention to the last line particularly... we all know where that's going to...

  

  


person knows how to solve problems that a wise person would know how to avoid... Think about it in the context of our society for a moment

y1987819

I'd say it was a dead-cert for 7bn.

The key questions for me are:
1) What will the quality of life by like for most of the 7bn
2) What number will be the peak
3) What will the decline look like

19806198

We are in deep shite in terms of population in the UK, but if you look at it in the context of the EU it isnt too bad.

Much worse though are South east asia, China and India. The UN says that India + China will account for 3 out of the 9 billion in 2050. Add in all the other South East Asian countries and Indonesia etc , that area must account for half of the worlds population.

Add in Africa , which is to go from 700 million + , to 2 billion. So between these two regions you have 6 billion + in 2050, two thirds of the world population.

I absolutely shudder what these places will be like when we get halfway or two thirds down the depletion curve.  



An interesting demographic stat I read the other day was that 90% + of the population growth since 1970 has been in countries that already struggle to sustain them. This trend is projected to continue to 2050.

So if this holds true, thats 4.5 billion + people since 1970 that have been born into "resource challenged" countries.

Of course PO will bugger up these numbers a little, but if "mad max" die offs are your thing, I think it is these regions where you will find it!!!

u9ef

I don't think we are in deep shite in the UK. The South East may be in deep shite but I think you'll be okay if you live north of Skipton, in Devon, Cornwall, Somerset or in Wales.

zjcgas19

If the S really HTF, (which I personally think unlikely), then large poor inner-city areas will become somewhat unviable, (rich protected inner city areas such as Westminster will however remain).

I could see these home grown economic refugees, being shipped off to the countryside to do some useful activities down on the farm.

We may see large 'refugee camps' in places live Cornwall to house the new agricultural workers that our farming industry will desperately need.

I think that on a personal level a village in a well-off area is a good option, (those with wealth are likely to find a way to hang onto it in any comming recession)

xdzpipe

It's hardly good though, the UK has one of the highest population densities in the world and thats including the Scotish Highlands which aren't good for much.  The only significant countries with higher densities are: Singapore, Bangladesh, Taiwan, South Korea, Netherlands, Belgium, Japan, Rwanda, Sri Lanka, Israel, Philippines and Vietnam.

Cornwall might seems sparce just now but don't expect a 300 mile walk to put too many people off if things get bad!